June 2026 Visa Bulletin: Analysis and Predictions

June 2026 visa bulletin — EB-1 India and EB-2 India retrogression movement compared to May 2026 baseline

On May 13, 2026, the State Department released the June 2026 Visa Bulletin. As such, the headline is sharp. Specifically, EB-1 India retrogressed by 107 days to December 15, 2022. Additionally, EB-2 India dropped by more than ten months to September 1, 2013 (State Department, June 2026 Visa Bulletin). Notably, the State Department warned in the bulletin text that further retrogressions in EB-1 and EB-2 India, or making the categories unavailable, may be necessary before the fiscal year ends on September 30, 2026.

In particular, this briefing covers three things. First, what changed versus the May 2026 baseline. Second, the implications for corporate immigration programs, attorneys, and beneficiaries. Third, the forward-looking scenario set for the final four months of FY 2026.

HIGH IMPACT Executive Summary

EB-1 India retrogressed 107 days to December 15, 2022, and EB-2 India dropped more than ten months to September 1, 2013. The State Department warned of further retrogressions, or “unavailable” designations, before FY 2026 ends on September 30, 2026. EB-3 advanced modestly.

Key Takeaways
  • EB-1 India retrogressed 107 days to December 15, 2022. EB-1 China held at April 1, 2023; all other countries remain current.
  • EB-2 India retrogressed by more than ten months to September 1, 2013, from July 15, 2014 in May 2026.
  • EB-3 advanced modestly. India moved to December 15, 2013; China to August 1, 2021; Philippines at August 1, 2023; all other countries at June 1, 2024.
  • State Department warning. Further retrogressions or “unavailable” designations in EB-1/EB-2 India may be necessary before FY 2026 ends September 30, 2026.
  • USCIS chart. Final Action Dates chart applies to employment-based AOS filings, per the May 2026 mid-year correction.

Historical Context

The May 2026 bulletin held EB cutoff dates steady across the board. Specifically, both EB-1 India and EB-1 China sat at April 1, 2023. For EB-2, India was at July 15, 2014. On the EB-3 side, India held at November 15, 2013 (State Department, May 2026 Visa Bulletin). However, the May bulletin’s signature event was procedural rather than numeric. As a result, USCIS shifted employment-based AOS filings to the Final Action Dates chart for the first time in several months (USCIS, Adjustment of Status Filing Charts from the Visa Bulletin).

In contrast, the June 2026 bulletin’s signature event is numeric. Specifically, numbers moved sharply. Meanwhile, the procedural framework — Final Action Dates govern EB AOS filings — carried forward unchanged (USCIS, Adjustment of Status Filing Charts).

Current Situation

Notably, the bulletin distributes movement unevenly across categories.

EB-1: retrogression for India only

Specifically, for EB-1 India, the cutoff retrogressed by 107 days — from April 1, 2023 to December 15, 2022 (State Department, June 2026 Visa Bulletin). Meanwhile, EB-1 China held steady at April 1, 2023. Furthermore, all other chargeability areas remained current. As a result, the retrogression is country-specific, not category-wide.

EB-2: significant retrogression for India

For EB-2 India, the cutoff retrogressed by more than ten months. Specifically, it moved from July 15, 2014 in May to September 1, 2013 in June. Meanwhile, EB-2 China held at September 1, 2021. Furthermore, all other countries remain current.

EB-3: modest advancement

Additionally, for EB-3 India, the cutoff advanced to December 15, 2013. China advanced to August 1, 2021. In addition, EB-3 Philippines is at August 1, 2023, while all other countries are at June 1, 2024.

EB-5 holds; family-based moves forward

For EB-5 unreserved, India held at May 1, 2022. Similarly, China held at September 22, 2016. Furthermore, EB-5 remains current for all other chargeability areas and for the three set-aside categories (State Department, June 2026 Visa Bulletin). On the family side, FB-2A advanced to January 1, 2025 for all countries. Additionally, FB-2B advanced to September 22, 2017 for all countries except Mexico and the Philippines.

What Changed: May 2026 vs June 2026

CategoryMay 2026 Final Action DateJune 2026 Final Action DateMovement
EB-1 IndiaApril 1, 2023December 15, 2022Retrogressed 107 days
EB-1 ChinaApril 1, 2023April 1, 2023No change
EB-2 IndiaJuly 15, 2014September 1, 2013Retrogressed >10 months
EB-2 ChinaSeptember 1, 2021September 1, 2021No change
EB-3 IndiaNovember 15, 2013December 15, 2013Advanced ~30 days
EB-3 China(prior)August 1, 2021Modest advancement
EB-5 India (unreserved)May 1, 2022May 1, 2022No change
EB-5 China (unreserved)September 22, 2016September 22, 2016No change
FB-2A all countries(prior)January 1, 2025Advanced
FB-2B (most countries)(prior)September 22, 2017Advanced

Implications by Audience

For Immigration Attorneys

Notably, the retrogression is concentrated, not diffuse. Specifically, EB-1 India and EB-2 India absorbed the movement. By contrast, every other EB category for every other country either held or advanced. Furthermore, practitioners advising India-born beneficiaries with priority dates between September 1, 2013 and July 15, 2014 in EB-2 should anticipate adjudication pauses on pending I-485 filings. Similarly, the same is true for EB-1 priority dates between December 15, 2022 and April 1, 2023. In practice, this means I-485 cases that became filable in April or May 2026 may stall mid-adjudication on June 1. Specifically, EAD and AP extensions tied to those I-485 filings remain unaffected. As such, the retrogression is on visa availability for final approval, not on AOS pendency benefits.

For Corporate Immigration Teams

In practice, program leaders should expect inbound questions from India-born employees tracking priority dates closely. The likely conversation runs: “My priority date became current in April. Has my case stalled?” The honest answer is yes for EB-1 India between December 15, 2022 and April 1, 2023. The same is true for EB-2 India between September 1, 2013 and July 15, 2014. As a result, sponsorship pipeline reporting should flag affected employees for status communication.

For Beneficiaries

Notably, the June retrogression does not invalidate an already-filed I-485. Instead, it pauses final approval until the priority date becomes current again. Meanwhile, EAD and AP remain valid through their face validity period. As a result, the most actionable step for beneficiaries with retrogressed cases is a quick check with their employer’s immigration counsel. Specifically, confirm whether pending EAD or AP renewal can proceed on its normal cadence regardless of the visa retrogression.

⚠ For the Budget Owner
The June retrogression does not change per-case sponsorship costs. Instead, it changes the pipeline assumptions program owners use to model employee-retention risk and benefit-package commitments. A multi-year EB-1 or EB-2 wait, which was already long, just widened. For an India-heavy program, this is the difference between modeling final approval inside a three-year window versus a five-or-more-year window. Additionally, the State Department warned of further widening before September 30, 2026 (State Department, June 2026 Visa Bulletin, Section E). Accordingly, budget owners should model the program-cost line items that scale with wait duration. These include relocation guarantees, retention bonuses tied to green-card timelines, and AP/EAD renewal cycles.

Priority Action Items

1
Identify affected employees by priority-date band HIGH
Specifically, pull the program’s EB-1 India and EB-2 India beneficiary list. Flag anyone with PD between Dec 15, 2022 – Apr 1, 2023 (EB-1 India) or Sep 1, 2013 – Jul 15, 2014 (EB-2 India).
2
Send proactive status communication HIGH
In practice, a short factual note confirming the retrogression does not invalidate the I-485, EAD, or AP. Better the employee hears it from the program first.
3
Coordinate EAD / AP renewal cadence MEDIUM
With I-485 final approval paused, EAD / AP renewal becomes the operational cadence that keeps the employee working. As a result, track renewal timelines outside any “priority date current” trigger.
4
Review the FY-close exposure window MEDIUM
Four months remain in FY 2026. Accordingly, prepare contingency briefings for headcount planning under both “further retrogression” and “category unavailable” scenarios. The State Department has flagged both as possibilities.

Scenario Planning for FY 2026 Close

The State Department’s own warning sets the range. Specifically, “further retrogressions in these categories, or making the categories unavailable, may be necessary before the fiscal year ends on September 30, 2026” (State Department, June 2026 Visa Bulletin, Section E). For this reason, three forward-looking scenarios bracket the realistic outcomes.

Best Case

In contrast to the State Department’s warning, June dates could hold through July, August, and September. Specifically, EB-1 India stays at December 15, 2022 and EB-2 India stays at September 1, 2013. Furthermore, number-use discipline absorbs the FY’s residual demand. As a result, October 1, 2026 brings the FY 2027 reset and modest forward movement returns.

Likely Case

For the middle path, EB-1 India retrogresses further into 2022’s early or middle months. Similarly, EB-2 India retrogresses further into 2013, or briefly becomes “unavailable” for the FY’s final weeks. By contrast, EB-3 holds its modest advancement trajectory. October 1, 2026 then resets with FY 2027 allocations.

Worst Case

In the worst path, both EB-1 India and EB-2 India become “unavailable” before September 30, 2026. Consequently, I-485 adjudications in those categories pause across the program for the FY’s final weeks. The October 1 reset then restores availability at materially retrogressed dates.

Policy Analysis

Notably, the structural driver of the June retrogression is the same one that produced retrogressions across FY 2025 and most of FY 2026. Specifically, per-country limits on employment-based green cards, set in statute, combine with concentrated demand from India- and China-born beneficiaries. In that context, the State Department’s role is to allocate the available numbers within those constraints. As a result, when demand for visa numbers in a particular category and chargeability area exceeds the supply, the Final Action Date retrogresses to throttle final approval to the available number pool.

By contrast, the June retrogression is not a USCIS policy change. Rather, it is a Department of State number-management response to FY 2026 demand. Notably, the bulletin text acknowledges this directly: “High demand and number use by aliens chargeable to India in the EB-1 and EB-2 visa categories … made it necessary to retrogress the final action dates to hold number use within the FY 2026 annual limit” (State Department, June 2026 Visa Bulletin, Section E). Furthermore, the forward-looking warning of “unavailable” designations before September 30, 2026 signals that the demand-supply gap is wide enough for further throttling to be on the table.

In practice, the forward outlook hinges on three observable variables practitioners can track between now and October 1, 2026. First, the July and August bulletins (released in mid-June and mid-July). Second, USCIS reporting on I-485 inventory and adjudication pace in EB-1 and EB-2. Third, the State Department’s monthly forecast notes in each bulletin’s analysis section.

Frequently Asked Questions

Category-by-category cutoff dates

What is the EB-1 India Final Action Date for June 2026?+
December 15, 2022. Specifically, EB-1 India retrogressed by 107 days from the May cutoff of April 1, 2023 (State Department, June 2026 Visa Bulletin). Meanwhile, EB-1 China held at April 1, 2023. Furthermore, all other countries remain current.
What is the EB-2 India Final Action Date for June 2026?+
September 1, 2013. Specifically, EB-2 India retrogressed by more than ten months from the May cutoff of July 15, 2014. Meanwhile, EB-2 China held at September 1, 2021. Furthermore, all other countries remain current.
Did EB-3 retrogress?+
No. By contrast, EB-3 advanced modestly. For India, the cutoff moved to December 15, 2013, and China advanced to August 1, 2021. In addition, EB-3 Philippines is at August 1, 2023. All other countries are at June 1, 2024.

Practical effects and forward outlook

Does the retrogression affect already-filed I-485 cases?+
Yes for final adjudication, no for pendency. Specifically, USCIS pauses final approval of I-485 cases in the affected category and chargeability area until the priority date becomes current again. Meanwhile, EAD and AP issued in connection with the pending I-485 remain valid through their face validity period.
Which chart does USCIS use for employment-based filings now?+
The Final Action Dates chart. Specifically, USCIS shifted to Final Action Dates for employment-based AOS filings in May 2026 as part of the mid-year correction. As a result, that policy carries forward into June 2026 (USCIS, Adjustment of Status Filing Charts from the Visa Bulletin).
Will EB-1 India or EB-2 India become unavailable before October 1, 2026?+
The State Department has flagged it as possible, not certain. Specifically, the bulletin text warns that further retrogressions or “unavailable” designations may be necessary before the fiscal year ends on September 30, 2026 (State Department, June 2026 Visa Bulletin, Section E). In practice, practitioners typically treat “may be necessary” language in the bulletin as a credible signal that conservative scenario planning is appropriate.
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Disclaimer and attorney-client notice

ⓘ Important Disclaimer

This content is provided by ImmiOne for general informational purposes only and is not legal, HR, or business advice. Immigration, HR, workplace rules, policies, and processing timelines may change. Please consult ImmiOne or a qualified legal, HR, or business professional and verify information with official government sources before making decisions.

Scenario projections in this briefing are forward-looking analysis based on publicly available information as of publication. Outcomes depend on factors that may change without notice.

Use of this content does not create an attorney-client or advisory relationship.

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